Championship: Birmingham vs Derby on 26 Dec 2025 finished 1:1.
Birmingham are in good form: 4-3-3 in their last 10, 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are scoring in 12 straight.
Over 2.5 lands in 30% of Birmingham's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 60% and 50%.
Chance quality: xG 3.2 vs 0.8.
Head-to-head (5): Birmingham 2, Derby 1, 2 draws.
Predicted: 1:0 (15%) · also likely 1:1 (13%)
| Goals Threshold: 2,3 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 10,0 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | BI | Total | BI | Total | BI | Total | |||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 9 45% | 11 55% | — | 14 70% | 14 70% | — | 9 45% | 10 50% | — |
| Total more | 11 55% | 9 45% | — | 6 30% | 6 30% | — | 10 50% | 9 45% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 9 45% | 7 35% | — | 12 60% | 16 80% | — | 8 40% | 12 60% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 11 55% | 13 65% | — | 8 40% | 4 20% | — | 11 55% | 5 25% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 2,10 | 1,65 | 3,75 | 1,90 | 1,95 | 3,85 | 6,45 | 3,45 | 9,90 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,35 | 1,30 | 2,65 | 2,05 | 2,10 | 4,15 | 5,70 | 5,15 | 10,85 |
| Avg total | 2,65 | 2,40 | 2,53 | 3,85 | 3,55 | 3,70 | 10,40 | 10,80 | 10,60 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 2,95 | 2,90 | 2,93 | 3,70 | 3,15 | 3,43 | 10,45 | 9,10 | 9,78 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,30 | 1,10 | 2,40 | 1,80 | 1,45 | 3,25 | 4,70 | 5,65 | 10,35 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 0,85 | 1,25 | 2,10 | 1,80 | 1,20 | 3,00 | 4,00 | 5,65 | 9,65 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 2,79 | — | — | 3,79 | — | — | 10,31 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.01.22 | Championship | Derby | Birmingham | 2 | 2 | 58% | 42% | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 10.09.21 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 2 | 0 | 40% | 58% | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 24.04.21 | Championship | Derby | Birmingham | 1 | 2 | 46% | 57% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 29.12.20 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 0 | 4 | 47% | 55% | 0 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| 22.07.20 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 1 | 3 | 46% | 54% | 4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 70 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 28.09.19 | Championship | Derby | Birmingham | 3 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 69 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| 19.04.19 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 2 | 2 | 44% | 56% | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 03.11.18 | Championship | Derby | Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 66% | 31% | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 13.01.18 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 0 | 3 | 48% | 52% | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 55 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 23.09.17 | Championship | Derby | Birmingham | 1 | 1 | 47% | 53% | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | Championship | Sheff United | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 2.74 | 0.64 | 66% | 34% | 9 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 79 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 01.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 52% | 48% | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 08.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 0.68 | 1.11 | 43% | 57% | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Millwall | 4 | 0 | 1.73 | 0.12 | 58% | 42% | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 41 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Portsmouth | 4 | 0 | 2.89 | 0.23 | 43% | 57% | 6 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 47 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Portsmouth | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 52% | 48% | 7 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 60 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 10.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.01 | 55% | 45% | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| 29.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Derby | 2 | 1 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 75% | 25% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| 22.11.25 | Championship | Derby | Watford | 2 | 3 | 0.64 | 1.47 | 37% | 63% | 5 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 45 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 01.11.25 | Championship | Sheff United | Derby | 1 | 3 | 2.13 | 1.79 | 62% | 38% | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Record 3-1-1 (W-D-L), 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 1.32 | 1.12 | 61% | 39% | 6 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 59 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 52% | 48% | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Norwich | 4 | 1 | 3.38 | 1.38 | 51% | 49% | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 40 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Portsmouth | 4 | 0 | 2.89 | 0.23 | 43% | 57% | 6 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 47 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 18.10.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Hull | 2 | 3 | 2.30 | 1.05 | 65% | 35% | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 75 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Record 3-1-1 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Derby | 2 | 1 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 75% | 25% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| 25.11.25 | Championship | Swansea | Derby | 1 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.04 | 67% | 33% | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 47 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 08.11.25 | Championship | Blackburn | Derby | 1 | 2 | 1.09 | 0.48 | 65% | 35% | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 64 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 01.11.25 | Championship | Sheff United | Derby | 1 | 3 | 2.13 | 1.79 | 62% | 38% | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| 04.10.25 | Championship | Derby | Southampton | 1 | 1 | 1.21 | 1.43 | 37% | 63% | 6 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 55 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | Championship | Sheff United | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 2.74 | 0.64 | 66% | 34% | 9 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 79 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Charlton | 1 | 1 | 1.32 | 1.12 | 61% | 39% | 6 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 59 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 09.12.25 | Championship | QPR | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1.42 | 0.31 | 38% | 62% | 3 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 53 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 06.12.25 | Championship | Southampton | Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 1.65 | 1.56 | 40% | 60% | 7 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 71 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 52% | 48% | 5 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 36 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.11.25 | Championship | West Brom | Birmingham | 1 | 1 | 0.76 | 0.98 | 42% | 58% | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Norwich | 4 | 1 | 3.38 | 1.38 | 51% | 49% | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 40 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 08.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 0.68 | 1.11 | 43% | 57% | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 57 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Millwall | 4 | 0 | 1.73 | 0.12 | 58% | 42% | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 41 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.11.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Portsmouth | 4 | 0 | 2.89 | 0.23 | 43% | 57% | 6 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 47 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Portsmouth | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 52% | 48% | 7 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 60 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 15.12.25 | Championship | Sheff Wed | Derby | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1.63 | 60% | 40% | 1 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| 10.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.01 | 55% | 45% | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| 06.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Leicester | 1 | 3 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 61% | 39% | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 54 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 29.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Derby | 2 | 1 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 75% | 25% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| 25.11.25 | Championship | Swansea | Derby | 1 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.04 | 67% | 33% | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 47 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 22.11.25 | Championship | Derby | Watford | 2 | 3 | 0.64 | 1.47 | 37% | 63% | 5 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 51 | 45 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 08.11.25 | Championship | Blackburn | Derby | 1 | 2 | 1.09 | 0.48 | 65% | 35% | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 64 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 04.11.25 | Championship | Derby | Hull | 2 | 1 | 0.74 | 1.28 | 44% | 56% | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 01.11.25 | Championship | Sheff United | Derby | 1 | 3 | 2.13 | 1.79 | 62% | 38% | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 74 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 |