EFL Cup
· 📍 Turf Moor
авг 26, 2025 at 21:45
FT
Burnley
2:1
Derby
EFL Cup: Burnley vs Derby on 26 Aug 2025 finished 2:1.
Burnley are out of form: 0-3-7 in their last 10, 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are scoring in 10 straight.
Over 2.5 lands in 40% of Burnley's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 50% and 50%.
Chance quality: xG 1.3 vs 0.8.
Head-to-head (5): Burnley 2, Derby 0, 3 draws.
Predicted: 0:1 (13%) · also likely 1:1 (12%)
Match statistics
Detailed statistics
| Goals Threshold: 2,5 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 10,0 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | BU | Total | BU | Total | BU | Total | |||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 8 40% | 11 55% | — | 13 65% | 18 90% | — | 13 65% | 14 70% | — |
| Total more | 12 60% | 9 45% | — | 7 35% | 2 10% | — | 5 25% | 3 15% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 14 70% | 8 40% | — | 16 80% | 19 95% | — | 10 50% | 12 60% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 6 30% | 12 60% | — | 4 20% | 1 5% | — | 7 35% | 4 20% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,40 | 1,40 | 2,80 | 1,10 | 1,90 | 3,00 | 6,70 | 3,70 | 10,40 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,90 | 1,55 | 3,45 | 1,45 | 1,95 | 3,40 | 4,90 | 3,50 | 8,40 |
| Avg total | 2,75 | 2,60 | 2,68 | 3,40 | 3,05 | 3,23 | 8,50 | 8,30 | 8,40 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 1,75 | 3,00 | 2,38 | 2,95 | 2,90 | 2,93 | 9,90 | 8,70 | 9,30 |
| Avg opponents' total | 0,84 | 1,05 | 1,89 | 2,05 | 1,10 | 3,15 | 3,53 | 4,80 | 8,33 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 0,35 | 1,63 | 1,98 | 1,85 | 1,00 | 2,85 | 3,20 | 5,00 | 8,20 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 2,91 | — | — | 3,16 | — | — | 8,85 |
Last 10 matches
Burnley10 matches
Both teams to score50%
Clean sheets1 / 10
Scored5 / 10
Derby10 matches
Both teams to score50%
Clean sheets4 / 10
Scored9 / 10
scored 10 straight
Head-to-head
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.04.25 | Championship | Derby | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 30% | 70% | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 42 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 10.12.24 | Championship | Burnley | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 67% | 33% | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 25.01.16 | Championship | Burnley | Derby | 4 | 1 | — | — | 44% | 56% | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 |
| 21.09.15 | Championship | Derby | Burnley | 0 | 0 | — | — | 51% | 49% | 6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Against common opponents (2 months)
Burnley
Derby
Against similar-strength opponents
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Burnley (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55
Record 4-1-0 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.05.25 | Championship | Burnley | Millwall | 3 | 1 | 2.05 | 1.50 | 72% | 28% | 9 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 62 | 29 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.04.25 | Championship | Burnley | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0.93 | 1.39 | 45% | 55% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.02.25 | Championship | Burnley | Oxford | 1 | 0 | 1.51 | 0.25 | 61% | 39% | 7 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 52 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.01.25 | FA Cup | Reading | Burnley | 1 | 3 | — | — | 40% | 60% | 4 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 45 | 56 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.01.25 | Championship | Burnley | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0.72 | 67% | 33% | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 73 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Derby (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–1.75
Record 0-2-2 (W-D-L), 0.5 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.08.25 | EFL Cup | West Brom | Derby | 1 | 1 | 1.42 | 0.18 | 54% | 46% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 68 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 01.03.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0.97 | 0.17 | 65% | 35% | 7 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 66 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| 08.02.25 | Championship | Norwich | Derby | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 1.05 | 65% | 35% | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| 29.12.24 | Championship | Derby | Leeds | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 2.15 | 39% | 61% | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 41 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
Last matches (2 months)
Burnley WLLLLDW
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.08.25 | Premier League | Burnley | Sunderland | 2 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.61 | 42% | 58% | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 59 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 16.08.25 | Premier League | Tottenham | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 2.32 | 1.09 | 68% | 32% | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 09.08.25 | Friendlies | Burnley | Lazio | 0 | 1 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 02.08.25 | Elite Club Friendlies | Stoke | Burnley | 1 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 29.07.25 | Friendlies | Warrington Rylands | Burnley | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 53 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.07.25 | Elite Club Friendlies | Shrewsbury | Burnley | 2 | 2 | — | — | 39% | 61% | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.07.25 | Elite Club Friendlies | Huddersfield | Burnley | 0 | 2 | — | — | 41% | 59% | 1 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 68 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Derby DLDLW—WLWW
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.08.25 | Championship | Derby | Bristol City | 1 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.75 | 52% | 48% | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 39 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 16.08.25 | Championship | Derby | Coventry | 3 | 5 | 1.26 | 3.27 | 47% | 53% | 4 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 12.08.25 | EFL Cup | West Brom | Derby | 1 | 1 | 1.42 | 0.18 | 54% | 46% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 68 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 09.08.25 | Championship | Stoke | Derby | 3 | 1 | 1.09 | 0.42 | 68% | 32% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| 02.08.25 | Friendlies | Derby | Atromitos | 2 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 65 | 56 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| 29.07.25 | Friendlies | Solihull | Derby | 2 | 4 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 53 | 76 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.07.25 | Friendlies | Burton | Derby | 2 | 1 | — | — | 49% | 51% | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 22.07.25 | Friendlies | Walsall | Derby | 2 | 3 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 42 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18.07.25 | Friendlies | Salzburg | Derby | 1 | 2 | 1.46 | 0.25 | 69% | 31% | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 57 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Bookmaker lines
Bookmaker lines
1X211,42X4,5027,50
Total 2,50O1,88U1,98
AH -1,2512,0521,80