Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples — preview, stats, live

USL League One

июн 14, 2026 at 02:00

Charlotte Independence

6'Alvarez59'Marou82'Alvarez86'Ortiz

4:3

FC Naples

21'Arevalo69'Mastrantonio89'Miglietti

2.52

1.73

USL League One: Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples on 14 Jun 2026 finished 4:3.

BTTS signal (experimental): both teams are on a both-teams-to-score run (index 71). Historically this signal saw BTTS in about 58% of games; both-teams-to-score is priced at 1.81. Model rates BTTS at ~60% — above the market by +5.2% (★). Experimental — not betting advice.

Charlotte Independence are in excellent form: 8-2-0 in their last 10, 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are winning 4 straight and scoring in 10 straight.

FC Naples are out of form: 1-1-8 in their last 10, 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 70% of Charlotte Independence's games and 50% of FC Naples's; both teams score in 80% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 2.5 vs 1.7, big chances 1 vs 4.

Head-to-head (4): Charlotte Independence 2, FC Naples 2, 0 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (12%) · also likely 1:1 (11%)

Lineups

Charlotte Independ.

28Levy GK

17Dimick C

5RomeroGuadalajara …

14Manin

3SkinnerTampa Bay

47AlvarezTampa Bay

8JaimeLos Angeles …

7SaydeeWestchester SC

19MartinezBirmingham

10BakeroMemphis

26MarouMarumo Galla…

Bench (8)

1Tasouris GKCyprus U21

4CoulibalyPortland Hea…

6FuchsGabala

2NgahCanon Yaounde

16LyonsMonterey Bay

9ManzingaBnei Yehuda

39NeeleyCrown Legacy

11OrtizCharleston

FC Naples

1Delgado C GKNorthern Col…

20YearwoodOrlando City B

9MigliettiHuntsville

5MastrantonioAV Alta

3CisnerosMenace

21TorrellasMenace

11GarciaForward Madi…

19Arevalo

14O'ConnorCork City

10FerrinOnce Caldas

7GrayTormenta

Bench (7)

99Grant GKJamaica U20

23MesiasForward Madi…

30CerroGeorgia Lions

18BachsteinMenace

22Yoder

12Gay

16Bulai-Tudor

Match events

HAlvarez — goal

ATorrellas — yellow

21'

AArevalo — goal

46'

HSaydee ↓ Fuchs ↑

46'

AArevalo ↓ Mesias ↑

59'

HMarou — goal

61'

AGray ↓ Gay ↑

65'

HManin — yellow

67'

AFerrin ↓ Bachstein ↑

69'

AMastrantonio — goal

71'

HBakero ↓ Manzinga ↑

71'

HMartinez ↓ Ortiz ↑

72'

HAlvarez — yellow

78'

ATorrellas ↓ Cerro ↑

78'

AGarcia ↓ Yoder ↑

82'

HAlvarez — goal

85'

HMarou ↓ Lyons ↑

86'

HOrtiz — goal

87'

HAlvarez ↓ Neeley ↑

89'

AMiglietti — goal

90+3'

HFuchs — yellow

Match statistics

57%

50%

Possession

2.52

1.73

Big chances

Shots on target

Shots off target

Blocked shots

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

Goalkeeper saves

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	2	1	6	3	8	4
Corners	4	1	2	5	6	6
Dangerous	20	17	27	23	47	40
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	0	1	3	0	3	1

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,8			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,0
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	20	20	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	5 25%	12 60%	—	13 65%	11 55%	—	3 15%	10 50%	—
Total more	15 75%	8 40%	—	7 35%	9 45%	—	15 75%	7 35%	—
Matches home / away	20	20	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	7 35%	10 50%	—	12 60%	9 45%	—	6 30%	10 50%	—
Total more (home / away)	13 65%	10 50%	—	8 40%	11 55%	—	11 55%	7 35%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,10	0,85	2,95	1,95	2,10	4,05	5,15	4,00	9,15
Individual total (overall)	2,05	1,05	3,10	2,10	1,80	3,90	5,65	4,55	10,20
Avg total	3,65	2,40	3,03	4,20	4,55	4,38	11,70	9,05	10,38
Avg total (home / away)	3,45	2,50	2,98	4,10	4,80	4,45	10,50	9,10	9,80
Avg opponents' total	1,60	1,35	2,95	2,10	2,75	4,85	6,05	4,50	10,55
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,35	1,65	3,00	2,15	2,70	4,85	5,35	5,10	10,45
Predicted total	—	—	3,04	—	—	4,18	—	—	10,00

Last 10 matches

Charlotte Independence10 matches

Both teams to score80%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored10 / 10

won 4 straightscored 10 straight

FC Naples10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Line trends

Charlotte Independence

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

•Not losing100%

↑Corners (match) over 7.590%

↑Corners (match) over 8.590%

↓Goals (match) under 5.590%

Combined

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.593%

↓Goals (match) under 5.590%

FC Naples

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↓Goals (team) under 1.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.590%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line2.75

100%

0.5

13 of 13

85%

15%

1.5

11 of 13

54%

46%

2.5

7 of 13

38%

62%

3.5

8 of 13

15%

85%

4.5

11 of 13

Corners

BK line9

69%

31%

7.5

9 of 13

69%

31%

8.5

9 of 13

54%

46%

9.5

7 of 13

46%

54%

10.5

7 of 13

31%

69%

11.5

9 of 13

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
04.06.26	USL League One	FC Naples	Charlotte Independence	1	5	1.33	1.13	1	1	51%	49%	5	7	12	5	61	40	8	6	2	2
26.10.25	USL League One	FC Naples	Charlotte Independence	2	0	1.72	0.72			52%	48%	2	1	6	7	48	69	1	6	2	2
13.09.25	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	FC Naples	0	1	1.88	1.58			60%	40%	2	1	12	6	97	31	7	2	1	4

Against common opponents (2 months)

Charlotte Independence

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
11.06.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Union Omaha	2	0	2.48	2.01	1	4	41%	59%	7	4	7	7	—	—	6	3	4	1
07.05.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	AC Boise	1	0	2.78	0.80	3	0	40%	60%	10	2	4	1	52	45	6	6	2	3
19.04.26	USL League One	One Knoxville SC	Charlotte Independence	2	1	—	—			48%	52%	7	6	5	9	97	82	3	7	2	2

FC Naples

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
31.05.26	USL League One	Union Omaha	FC Naples	2	1	0.97	0.91	0	2	60%	40%	8	5	5	6	—	—	8	3	1	3
14.05.26	USL League One	AC Boise	FC Naples	2	0	1.17	0.44			0%	0%	3	1	4	7	68	50	4	3	3	4
03.05.26	USL League One	FC Naples	One Knoxville SC	0	3	0.79	1.25	0	3	64%	36%	2	6	5	2	61	41	8	1	1	3

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Charlotte Independence (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 4-1-0 (W-D-L), 2.0 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
11.06.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Union Omaha	2	0	2.48	2.01	1	4	41%	59%	7	4	7	7	—	—	6	3	4	1	—	—
24.05.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Forward Madison FC	3	1	1.11	1.12			53%	47%	6	4	11	4	53	39	5	5	1	3	0	1
15.03.26	USL League One	Westchester SC	Charlotte Independence	1	1	0.49	2.20			40%	60%	2	5	4	7	51	76	4	9	2	4	0	0
11.10.25	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Antelope Valley Alta	3	2	1.46	0.68			40%	60%	6	3	5	7	59	73	5	3	1	3	0	0
16.08.25	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Westchester SC	1	0	1.17	0.46			41%	59%	4	8	7	10	46	69	4	7	2	2	0	0

FC Naples (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-1-4 (W-D-L), 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
31.05.26	USL League One	Union Omaha	FC Naples	2	1	0.97	0.91	0	2	60%	40%	8	5	5	6	—	—	8	3	1	3	—	—
14.05.26	USL League One	AC Boise	FC Naples	2	0	1.17	0.44			0%	0%	3	1	4	7	68	50	4	3	3	4	0	0
11.05.26	USL League One	Spokane Velocity FC	FC Naples	2	1	2.40	0.77			44%	56%	3	4	8	7	43	49	6	8	2	0	0	0
30.04.26	USL League One	Miami FC	FC Naples	4	1	1.27	1.53		1	53%	47%	7	4	6	10	67	62	4	3	3	0	1	1
19.04.26	USL League One	Portland Hearts of Pine	FC Naples	1	1	0.80	0.32			43%	57%	5	1	7	5	55	58	5	2	4	1	0	0

Last matches (2 months)

Charlotte Independence WWWWDWWDWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
11.06.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Union Omaha	2	0	2.48	2.01	1	4	41%	59%	7	4	7	7	—	—	6	3	4	1	—	—
04.06.26	USL League One	FC Naples	Charlotte Independence	1	5	1.33	1.13	1	1	51%	49%	5	7	12	5	61	40	8	6	2	2	0	0
31.05.26	USL League One	Chattanooga Red Wolves	Charlotte Independence	2	3	—	—			41%	59%	4	7	1	15	62	55	8	5	4	3	0	0
24.05.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	Forward Madison FC	3	1	1.11	1.12			53%	47%	6	4	11	4	53	39	5	5	1	3	0	1
16.05.26	usa usl cup	Charlotte Independence	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1	1	0.42	1.06	1	0	49%	51%	3	3	4	3	43	70	1	3	0	2	0	0
10.05.26	USL League One	Corpus Christi	Charlotte Independence	1	3	1.80	2.08	1	3	52%	48%	5	4	3	4	59	37	6	4	2	4	1	0
07.05.26	USL League One	Charlotte Independence	AC Boise	1	0	2.78	0.80	3	0	40%	60%	10	2	4	1	52	45	6	6	2	3	0	0
03.05.26	USL League One	Fort Wayne FC	Charlotte Independence	2	2	1.82	1.63	2	0	45%	55%	8	7	3	2	71	78	9	3	2	2	0	0
26.04.26	USL League One	Richmond Kickers	Charlotte Independence	1	2	1.63	2.53			54%	46%	5	4	7	2	70	49	8	5	1	1	0	0
19.04.26	USL League One	One Knoxville SC	Charlotte Independence	2	1	—	—			48%	52%	7	6	5	9	97	82	3	7	2	2	0	0

FC Naples LLLWDLLLL—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
07.06.26	usa usl cup	FC Naples	Sarasota Paradise	0	2	—	—			65%	35%	7	3	6	1	56	28	4	0	4	3	0	0
04.06.26	USL League One	FC Naples	Charlotte Independence	1	5	1.33	1.13	1	1	51%	49%	5	7	12	5	61	40	8	6	2	2	0	0
31.05.26	USL League One	Union Omaha	FC Naples	2	1	0.97	0.91	0	2	60%	40%	8	5	5	6	—	—	8	3	1	3	—	—
24.05.26	USL League One	FC Naples	Westchester SC	1	0	1.02	0.64		0	48%	52%	2	1	8	6	52	64	1	6	3	4	0	0
18.05.26	usa usl cup	FC Naples	Sporting JAX	1	1	1.36	1.61			48%	52%	5	5	8	5	62	41	7	6	0	2	0	0
14.05.26	USL League One	AC Boise	FC Naples	2	0	1.17	0.44			0%	0%	3	1	4	7	68	50	4	3	3	4	0	0
11.05.26	USL League One	Spokane Velocity FC	FC Naples	2	1	2.40	0.77			44%	56%	3	4	8	7	43	49	6	8	2	0	0	0
03.05.26	USL League One	FC Naples	One Knoxville SC	0	3	0.79	1.25	0	3	64%	36%	2	6	5	2	61	41	8	1	1	3	0	0
30.04.26	USL League One	Miami FC	FC Naples	4	1	1.27	1.53		1	53%	47%	7	4	6	10	67	62	4	3	3	0	1	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,65X3,5024,33

Total 2,75O1,95U1,85

AH -0,7511,8022,00

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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