Nations League
окт 11, 2025 at 21:45
FT
Estonia
1:3
Italy
Nations League: Estonia vs Italy on 11 Oct 2025 finished 1:3.
Estonia are in mixed form: 3-4-3 in their last 10, 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Italy are in excellent form: 8-1-1 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Over 2.5 lands in 30% of Estonia's games and 50% of Italy's; both teams score in 60% and 40%.
Chance quality: xG 1.0 vs 2.3.
Head-to-head (3): Estonia 0, Italy 3, 0 draws.
Predicted: 0:2 (16%) · also likely 0:3 (16%)
Match statistics
Detailed statistics
| Goals Threshold: 3,3 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 9,5 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Total | Total | Total | ||||||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 13 65% | 13 65% | — | 16 80% | 15 75% | — | 11 55% | 9 45% | — |
| Total more | 7 35% | 7 35% | — | 4 20% | 5 25% | — | 9 45% | 11 55% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 15 75% | 13 65% | — | 14 70% | 13 65% | — | 14 70% | 12 60% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 5 25% | 7 35% | — | 6 30% | 7 35% | — | 6 30% | 8 40% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,05 | 1,55 | 2,60 | 1,65 | 1,85 | 3,50 | 3,95 | 4,70 | 8,65 |
| Individual total (overall) | 0,80 | 1,85 | 2,65 | 1,90 | 1,55 | 3,45 | 2,70 | 5,65 | 8,35 |
| Avg total | 2,85 | 3,15 | 3,00 | 3,05 | 3,15 | 3,10 | 9,70 | 10,35 | 10,03 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 2,55 | 3,05 | 2,80 | 3,45 | 3,70 | 3,58 | 8,45 | 9,30 | 8,88 |
| Avg opponents' total | 2,05 | 1,30 | 3,35 | 1,15 | 1,60 | 2,75 | 7,00 | 4,70 | 11,70 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,50 | 1,50 | 3,00 | 1,80 | 1,85 | 3,65 | 4,50 | 4,60 | 9,10 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 2,73 | — | — | 3,51 | — | — | 8,61 |
Last 10 matches
Estonia10 matches
Both teams to score60%
Clean sheets3 / 10
Scored8 / 10
Italy10 matches
Both teams to score40%
Clean sheets6 / 10
Scored10 / 10
Head-to-head
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.25 | Nations League | Italy | Estonia | 5 | 0 | 4.36 | 0.40 | 70% | 30% | 13 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 91 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11.11.20 | Friendlies | Italy | Estonia | 4 | 0 | — | — | 65% | 36% | 7 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 80 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — |
Against similar-strength opponents
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Estonia (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–1.40
Record 0-0-5 (W-D-L), 0.2 scored / 2.4 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.25 | Nations League | Italy | Estonia | 5 | 0 | 4.36 | 0.40 | 70% | 30% | 13 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 91 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 09.06.25 | Nations League | Estonia | Norway | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 2.69 | 38% | 62% | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.03.25 | Europe - World Cup Qualifying | Israel | Estonia | 2 | 1 | 2.46 | 0.34 | 76% | 24% | 10 | 3 | 19 | 4 | 90 | 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 19.11.24 | Nations League | Slovakia | Estonia | 1 | 0 | 1.84 | 0.29 | 51% | 49% | 12 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 14.10.24 | Nations League | Estonia | Sweden | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 2.55 | 26% | 74% | 0 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 101 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Italy (as favourite) odds 1.01–1.18
Record 4-0-0 (W-D-L), 4.0 scored / 0.5 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.09.25 | Nations League | Italy | Estonia | 5 | 0 | 4.36 | 0.40 | 70% | 30% | 13 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 91 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 09.06.25 | Nations League | Italy | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2.51 | 1.27 | 66% | 34% | 8 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 74 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| 17.11.23 | Euro 2024 Qualifying | Italy | Macedonia | 5 | 2 | 2.96 | 0.65 | 65% | 35% | 11 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 50 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 14.10.23 | Euro 2024 Qualifying | Italy | Malta | 4 | 0 | 0.93 | 0.12 | 67% | 33% | 4 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 77 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Last matches (2 months)
Estonia DL
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.09.25 | Friendlies | Estonia | Andorra | 0 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 6 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 134 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 05.09.25 | Nations League | Italy | Estonia | 5 | 0 | 4.36 | 0.40 | 70% | 30% | 13 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 91 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Italy WW
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08.09.25 | Nations League | Israel | Italy | 4 | 5 | 1.40 | 1.80 | 46% | 54% | 7 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 53 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 05.09.25 | Nations League | Italy | Estonia | 5 | 0 | 4.36 | 0.40 | 70% | 30% | 13 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 91 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Bookmaker lines
Bookmaker lines
1X2128,41X11,2821,08
Total 3,25O1,85U1,98
AH +2,5011,9921,85