Bundesliga: Mainz vs Union Berlin on 10 May 2026 finished 2:3.
Mainz are out of form: 3-1-4 in their last 8, 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Union Berlin are out of form: 3-2-5 in their last 10, 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Mainz's games and 80% of Union Berlin's; both teams score in 50% and 70%.
Chance quality: xG 1.5 vs 2.7.
Head-to-head (5): Mainz 0, Union Berlin 2, 3 draws.
Verdict: statistically it's finely balanced; the market gives a slight edge to Mainz (1.74).
| 1H | 2H | FT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | H | A | H | A | H | A |
| Shots on | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| Corners | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Dangerous | 28 | 23 | 30 | 16 | 58 | 39 |
| Fouls | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yellow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Threshold: 2,8 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 9,5 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | UB | Total | UB | Total | UB | Total | |||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 9 45% | 8 40% | — | 12 60% | 14 70% | — | 11 55% | 13 65% | — |
| Total more | 11 55% | 12 60% | — | 8 40% | 6 30% | — | 9 45% | 7 35% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 13 65% | 12 60% | — | 12 60% | 16 80% | — | 11 55% | 10 50% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 7 35% | 8 40% | — | 8 40% | 4 20% | — | 9 45% | 10 50% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,45 | 0,90 | 2,35 | 2,00 | 1,35 | 3,35 | 5,85 | 4,70 | 10,55 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,50 | 1,10 | 2,60 | 1,90 | 1,85 | 3,75 | 5,20 | 4,90 | 10,10 |
| Avg total | 2,80 | 3,00 | 2,90 | 4,25 | 3,55 | 3,90 | 9,50 | 9,15 | 9,33 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 2,60 | 2,60 | 2,60 | 4,30 | 3,00 | 3,65 | 9,05 | 9,35 | 9,20 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,30 | 1,90 | 3,20 | 2,35 | 1,70 | 4,05 | 4,30 | 4,25 | 8,55 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,15 | 1,70 | 2,85 | 2,30 | 1,65 | 3,95 | 3,20 | 4,65 | 7,85 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 2,60 | — | — | 3,70 | — | — | 9,65 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.01.26 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 2.65 | 1.09 | 56% | 44% | 5 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 45 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19.01.25 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Mainz | 2 | 1 | 2.07 | 1.63 | 33% | 67% | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 65 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 24.08.24 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 1.44 | 0.44 | 54% | 46% | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 50 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 07.02.24 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 1.39 | 1.18 | 45% | 55% | 8 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 20.08.23 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Mainz | 4 | 1 | 1.88 | 2.29 | 46% | 54% | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.02.23 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Mainz | 2 | 1 | — | — | 52% | 48% | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 51 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14.08.22 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | — | — | 53% | 47% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 26.02.22 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Mainz | 3 | 1 | — | — | 48% | 52% | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 38 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 03.10.21 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Union Berlin | 1 | 2 | — | — | 51% | 49% | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 44 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.05.26 | Bundesliga | St Pauli | Mainz | 1 | 2 | 0.85 | 2.34 | 49% | 51% | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| 25.04.26 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Bayern Munchen | 3 | 4 | 2.30 | 1.97 | 29% | 71% | 8 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 64 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| 12.04.26 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Freiburg | 0 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 51% | 49% | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.04.26 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | St Pauli | 1 | 1 | 1.93 | 0.32 | 55% | 45% | 8 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 79 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21.03.26 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munchen | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 5.52 | 0.20 | 73% | 27% | 9 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 67 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 15.03.26 | Bundesliga | Freiburg | Union Berlin | 0 | 1 | 1.10 | 0.53 | 73% | 27% | 6 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.05.26 | Bundesliga | St Pauli | Mainz | 1 | 2 | 0.85 | 2.34 | 49% | 51% | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| 25.04.26 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Bayern Munchen | 3 | 4 | 2.30 | 1.97 | 29% | 71% | 8 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 64 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| 19.04.26 | Bundesliga | Borussia Monchengladbach | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | 2.16 | 38% | 62% | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 83 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| 16.04.26 | UEFA Conference League | Strasbourg | Mainz | 4 | 0 | 2.89 | 0.24 | 60% | 40% | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 12.04.26 | Bundesliga | Mainz | Freiburg | 0 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.57 | 51% | 49% | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 09.04.26 | UEFA Conference League | Mainz | Strasbourg | 2 | 0 | 1.52 | 0.99 | 33% | 67% | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 04.04.26 | Bundesliga | Hoffenheim | Mainz | 1 | 2 | 1.23 | 2.16 | 60% | 40% | 5 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 67 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.05.26 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Cologne | 2 | 2 | 1.24 | 1.70 | 58% | 42% | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 69 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 24.04.26 | Bundesliga | Leipzig | Union Berlin | 3 | 2 | 4.19 | 0.18 | 67% | 33% | 9 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 49 | 37 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18.04.26 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Wolfsburg | 1 | 2 | 2.35 | 0.18 | 53% | 47% | 7 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 86 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.04.26 | Bundesliga | Heidenheim | Union Berlin | 4 | 1 | 2.06 | 0.94 | 44% | 56% | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 53 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 05.04.26 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | St Pauli | 1 | 1 | 1.93 | 0.32 | 55% | 45% | 8 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 79 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21.03.26 | Bundesliga | Bayern Munchen | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 5.52 | 0.20 | 73% | 27% | 9 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 67 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 15.03.26 | Bundesliga | Freiburg | Union Berlin | 0 | 1 | 1.10 | 0.53 | 73% | 27% | 6 | 4 | 13 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |