Segunda: Malaga vs Almeria on 14 Jun 2026 finished 0:0.
Value bet: Over 2.5 — fair 1.47 vs book 1.87 (+14.4%, ★★★).
BTTS signal (experimental): both teams are on a both-teams-to-score run (index 77). Historically this signal saw BTTS in about 60% of games; both-teams-to-score is priced at 1.71. Model rates BTTS at ~68% — above the market by +9.5% (★★). Experimental — not betting advice.
Malaga are in excellent form: 6-3-1 in their last 10, 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 7 and scoring in 12 straight.
Almeria are in good form: 4-3-3 in their last 10, 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Malaga's games and 60% of Almeria's; both teams score in 70% and 70%.
Chance quality: xG 0.4 vs 0.7.
Head-to-head (4): Malaga 2, Almeria 1, 1 draw.
Predicted: 1:1 (13%) · also likely 1:0 (11%)
| 1H | 2H | FT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | H | A | H | A | H | A |
| Shots on | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Corners | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Dangerous | 23 | 25 | 30 | 22 | 53 | 47 |
| Fouls | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yellow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Threshold: 2,5 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 9,0 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Total | Total | Total | ||||||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 9 45% | 6 30% | — | 8 40% | 7 35% | — | 10 50% | 7 35% | — |
| Total more | 11 55% | 14 70% | — | 12 60% | 13 65% | — | 7 35% | 12 60% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 7 35% | 9 45% | — | 10 50% | 7 35% | — | 9 45% | 11 55% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 13 65% | 11 55% | — | 10 50% | 13 65% | — | 8 40% | 8 40% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 2,10 | 1,35 | 3,45 | 2,00 | 2,70 | 4,70 | 3,80 | 3,40 | 7,20 |
| Individual total (overall) | 2,05 | 2,00 | 4,05 | 1,95 | 2,45 | 4,40 | 4,55 | 4,30 | 8,85 |
| Avg total | 3,30 | 3,55 | 3,43 | 4,80 | 5,05 | 4,93 | 9,10 | 9,70 | 9,40 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 3,30 | 2,85 | 3,08 | 5,05 | 5,20 | 5,13 | 7,85 | 8,70 | 8,28 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,25 | 1,55 | 2,80 | 2,85 | 2,60 | 5,45 | 4,55 | 5,40 | 9,95 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,20 | 1,50 | 2,70 | 3,05 | 2,50 | 5,55 | 4,05 | 5,30 | 9,35 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 3,56 | — | — | 4,76 | — | — | 8,56 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.04.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Malaga | 3 | 3 | 1.52 | 0.50 | 46% | 54% | 7 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 21.12.25 | Segunda | Malaga | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 1.52 | 1.57 | 37% | 63% | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.07.25 | Friendlies | Almeria | Malaga | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 01.03.25 | Segunda | Almeria | Malaga | 2 | 2 | 3.02 | 1.31 | 52% | 48% | 5 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 51 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 08.12.24 | Segunda | Malaga | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.67 | 43% | 57% | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 68 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 27.07.24 | Friendlies | Malaga | Almeria | 0 | 1 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 104 | 113 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 27.07.23 | Friendlies | Almeria | Malaga | 0 | 1 | — | — | 61% | 39% | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 134 | 79 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12.02.22 | Segunda | Malaga | Almeria | 0 | 1 | — | — | 55% | 45% | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.09.21 | Segunda | Almeria | Malaga | 2 | 0 | — | — | 43% | 59% | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 73 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.06.26 | Segunda | Malaga | Las Palmas | 1 | 1 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 2 | 1 | 49% | 51% | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| 07.06.26 | Segunda | Las Palmas | Malaga | 0 | 1 | 0.57 | 1.17 | 60% | 40% | 3 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 09.05.26 | Segunda | Malaga | Monzon | 2 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.07 | 66% | 34% | 7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 105 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 25.04.26 | Segunda | Malaga | CD Castellon | 2 | 3 | 2.32 | 1.89 | 56% | 44% | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.06.26 | Segunda | Almeria | CD Castellon | 3 | 2 | 1.62 | 0.86 | 3 | 1 | 47% | 53% | 4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| 06.06.26 | Segunda | CD Castellon | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 2.12 | 0.56 | 2 | 1 | 61% | 39% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | — | — |
| 24.05.26 | Segunda | Monzon | Almeria | 3 | 1 | 1.70 | 1.56 | 36% | 64% | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 55 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 16.05.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Las Palmas | 1 | 2 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 54% | 46% | 5 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 68 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.06.26 | Segunda | Malaga | Las Palmas | 1 | 1 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 2 | 1 | 49% | 51% | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| 07.06.26 | Segunda | Las Palmas | Malaga | 0 | 1 | 0.57 | 1.17 | 60% | 40% | 3 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 31.05.26 | Segunda | Real Zaragoza | Malaga | 0 | 2 | 0.65 | 2.63 | 43% | 57% | 0 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 50 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 24.05.26 | Segunda | Malaga | Racing Santander | 1 | 1 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 46% | 54% | 5 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 54 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 16.05.26 | Segunda | AD Ceuta FC | Malaga | 1 | 4 | 0.60 | 2.26 | 48% | 52% | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 09.05.26 | Segunda | Malaga | Monzon | 2 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.07 | 66% | 34% | 7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 105 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 02.05.26 | Segunda | Eibar | Malaga | 2 | 4 | 1.85 | 2.83 | 41% | 59% | 5 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 40 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 25.04.26 | Segunda | Malaga | CD Castellon | 2 | 3 | 2.32 | 1.89 | 56% | 44% | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 19.04.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Malaga | 3 | 3 | 1.52 | 0.50 | 46% | 54% | 7 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.06.26 | Segunda | Almeria | CD Castellon | 3 | 2 | 1.62 | 0.86 | 3 | 1 | 47% | 53% | 4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| 06.06.26 | Segunda | CD Castellon | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 2.12 | 0.56 | 2 | 1 | 61% | 39% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | — | — |
| 31.05.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 3.49 | 1.27 | 46% | 54% | 8 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 56 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 24.05.26 | Segunda | Monzon | Almeria | 3 | 1 | 1.70 | 1.56 | 36% | 64% | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 55 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 16.05.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Las Palmas | 1 | 2 | 2.00 | 1.58 | 54% | 46% | 5 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 68 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 09.05.26 | Segunda | Burgos | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 1.20 | 1.13 | 54% | 46% | 5 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 47 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 04.05.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Mirandes | 4 | 2 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 59% | 41% | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 26.04.26 | Segunda | Granada | Almeria | 2 | 4 | 0.66 | 2.11 | 46% | 54% | 5 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 19.04.26 | Segunda | Almeria | Malaga | 3 | 3 | 1.52 | 0.50 | 46% | 54% | 7 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||