Nations League: Sweden vs Poland on 31 Mar 2026 finished 3:2.
Sweden are out of form: 2-3-5 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Poland are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 7 and scoring in 15 straight.
Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Sweden's games and 50% of Poland's; both teams score in 70% and 70%.
Chance quality: xG 1.9 vs 1.0.
Head-to-head (3): Sweden 2, Poland 1, 0 draws.
Verdict: on form and head-to-head Poland look the stronger side, yet the market prices Sweden as favourite (2.00) — a divergence worth noting.
| 1H | 2H | FT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | H | A | H | A | H | A |
| Shots on | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| Corners | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| Dangerous | 16 | 25 | 15 | 27 | 31 | 52 |
| Fouls | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yellow | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Threshold: 2,5 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 10,0 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | PO | Total | PO | Total | PO | Total | |||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 7 35% | 9 45% | — | 13 65% | 14 70% | — | 6 30% | 11 55% | — |
| Total more | 13 65% | 11 55% | — | 7 35% | 6 30% | — | 12 60% | 7 35% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 9 45% | 10 50% | — | 15 75% | 13 65% | — | 10 50% | 13 65% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 11 55% | 10 50% | — | 5 25% | 7 35% | — | 8 40% | 6 30% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,95 | 1,30 | 3,25 | 1,35 | 2,05 | 3,40 | 6,40 | 4,20 | 10,60 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,95 | 1,55 | 3,50 | 1,80 | 1,65 | 3,45 | 6,80 | 5,15 | 11,95 |
| Avg total | 3,30 | 3,05 | 3,18 | 4,15 | 3,55 | 3,85 | 10,65 | 9,20 | 9,93 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 3,05 | 3,05 | 3,05 | 3,50 | 4,35 | 3,93 | 10,00 | 8,70 | 9,35 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,35 | 1,50 | 2,85 | 2,35 | 1,90 | 4,25 | 3,85 | 4,05 | 7,90 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,10 | 1,75 | 2,85 | 2,15 | 2,30 | 4,45 | 3,60 | 4,50 | 8,10 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 3,28 | — | — | 3,69 | — | — | 10,65 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.03.22 | Europe - World Cup Qualifying | Poland | Sweden | 2 | 0 | 39% | 61% | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 43 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 23.06.21 | Euro 2020 | Sweden | Poland | 3 | 2 | 33% | 67% | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 39 | 77 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 |