Aston Villa vs Chelsea — preview, stats, live

Premier League

мар 4, 2026 at 22:30

Aston Villa

1:4

Chelsea

0.87

3.92

Premier League: Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 04 Mar 2026 finished 1:4.

Aston Villa arrive in excellent form: 6-1-3 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. A high-scoring side — 80% went over 2.5 goals.

Chelsea arrive in good form: 4-0-6 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Both teams scored in 40%, over 2.5 in 70%.

Head-to-head (5): Aston Villa 2, Chelsea 2, 1 draw.

Verdict: on form and head-to-head Aston Villa look the stronger side, yet the market prices Chelsea as favourite (2.50) — a divergence worth noting.

Match statistics

42%

67%

Possession

Shots on target

Shots off target

0.87

3.92

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	2	3	2	5	4	8
Corners	0	5	3	3	3	8
Dangerous	6	15	30	22	36	37
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	0	0	3	2	3	2

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,8			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10,0
Metric	AV		Total	AV		Total	AV		Total
Matches played	20	20	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	9 45%	6 30%	—	10 50%	8 40%	—	9 45%	6 30%	—
Total more	11 55%	14 70%	—	10 50%	12 60%	—	7 35%	11 55%	—
Matches home / away	20	20	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	9 45%	5 25%	—	13 65%	9 45%	—	7 35%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	11 55%	15 75%	—	7 35%	11 55%	—	7 35%	4 20%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,70	2,10	3,80	1,15	2,55	3,70	6,15	4,70	10,85
Individual total (overall)	1,55	2,10	3,65	1,80	2,60	4,40	5,35	6,40	11,75
Avg total	2,85	3,40	3,13	4,25	4,70	4,48	9,40	11,00	10,20
Avg total (home / away)	2,55	3,35	2,95	3,65	4,45	4,05	9,80	8,60	9,20
Avg opponents' total	1,30	1,30	2,60	2,45	2,10	4,55	4,05	4,60	8,65
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,85	1,25	2,10	2,50	1,90	4,40	3,65	3,90	7,55
Predicted total	—	—	3,30	—	—	4,23	—	—	10,48

Last 10 matches

Aston Villa10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored8 / 10

Chelsea10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored6 / 10

scored 5 straight

Line trends

Aston Villa

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↓Cards (team) under 5.5100%

↓Cards (match) under 2.5100%

↓Goals (team) under 4.589%

↑Corners (match) over 3.589%

Combined

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↓Cards (team) under 5.587%

Chelsea

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 1.590%

↑Goals (match) over 0.590%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line2.75

100%

0.5

19 of 19

79%

21%

1.5

15 of 19

68%

32%

2.5

13 of 19

47%

53%

3.5

10 of 19

16%

84%

4.5

16 of 19

Corners

BK line10

74%

26%

7.5

14 of 19

68%

32%

8.5

13 of 19

53%

47%

9.5

10 of 19

32%

68%

10.5

13 of 19

21%

79%

11.5

15 of 19

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.12.25	Premier League	Chelsea	Aston Villa	1	2	2.13	1.04	63%	37%	3	8	11	3	79	27	6	7	5	3	0
22.02.25	Premier League	Aston Villa	Chelsea	2	1	2.56	2.12	52%	48%	6	7	6	8	52	38	2	3	1	3	0
01.12.24	Premier League	Chelsea	Aston Villa	3	0	1.60	0.92	64%	36%	8	4	9	6	57	41	3	4	2	2	0
27.04.24	Premier League	Aston Villa	Chelsea	2	2	0.77	1.37	28%	72%	4	5	5	16	26	57	2	4	3	3	0
07.02.24	FA Cup	Aston Villa	Chelsea	1	3	1.09	1.33	49%	51%	5	8	10	7	53	41	7	6	1	2	0
26.01.24	FA Cup	Chelsea	Aston Villa	0	0	0.80	1.00	57%	43%	6	5	5	8	60	36	7	7	1	1	0
24.09.23	Premier League	Chelsea	Aston Villa	0	1	1.35	1.03	53%	47%	4	7	6	8	48	46	5	11	2	3	1
01.04.23	Premier League	Chelsea	Aston Villa	0	2	—	—	69%	31%	8	2	19	3	86	24	13	2	3	3	0
11.12.22	Elite Club Friendlies	Aston Villa	Chelsea	1	0	—	—	53%	47%	2	3	5	5	12	19	3	2	0	0	0
16.10.22	Premier League	Aston Villa	Chelsea	0	2	—	—	42%	59%	6	4	5	4	26	46	1	1	0	3	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Aston Villa

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.02.26	Premier League	Wolverhampton	Aston Villa	2	0	0.97	1.06	39%	61%	2	5	7	9	15	62	0	5	3	3	0
21.02.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Leeds	1	1	1.39	1.35	66%	34%	4	4	12	10	69	35	7	2	1	4	0
01.02.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Brentford	0	1	1.98	0.53	72%	28%	5	2	22	4	27	16	12	1	1	4	1
07.01.26	Premier League	Crystal Palace	Aston Villa	0	0	1.26	1.57	41%	59%	5	3	6	12	33	48	3	5	2	0	0

Chelsea

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
10.02.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Leeds	2	2	3.65	1.34	65%	35%	4	2	15	2	54	31	4	1	3	3	0
07.02.26	Premier League	Wolverhampton	Chelsea	1	3	1.08	3.15	33%	67%	3	6	8	9	39	35	3	4	1	1	0
25.01.26	Premier League	Crystal Palace	Chelsea	1	3	2.37	2.20	43%	57%	7	6	6	4	49	37	4	5	3	2	1
17.01.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Brentford	2	0	1.59	1.53	46%	54%	2	5	4	10	39	51	3	9	3	2	0

Last matches (2 months)

Aston Villa LDLWDLWWWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.02.26	Premier League	Wolverhampton	Aston Villa	2	0	0.97	1.06	39%	61%	2	5	7	9	15	62	0	5	3	3	0	0
21.02.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Leeds	1	1	1.39	1.35	66%	34%	4	4	12	10	69	35	7	2	1	4	0	0
14.02.26	FA Cup	Aston Villa	Newcastle United	1	3	0.77	1.30	43%	57%	2	3	6	9	32	64	6	5	2	3	1	0
11.02.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Brighton	1	0	0.66	0.45	50%	50%	2	3	13	6	45	56	7	5	2	3	0	0
07.02.26	Premier League	Bournemouth	Aston Villa	1	1	2.31	0.43	52%	48%	9	4	11	3	51	31	11	4	1	1	0	0
01.02.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Brentford	0	1	1.98	0.53	72%	28%	5	2	22	4	27	16	12	1	1	4	0	1
29.01.26	Europa League	Aston Villa	Salzburg	3	2	1.94	2.36	64%	36%	9	8	5	6	50	26	4	2	0	1	0	0
25.01.26	Premier League	Newcastle United	Aston Villa	0	2	2.30	1.15	60%	40%	4	8	11	6	61	53	6	5	1	2	0	0
22.01.26	Europa League	Fenerbahce	Aston Villa	0	1	0.88	1.45	63%	37%	8	4	5	8	51	40	5	5	4	5	0	0
18.01.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Everton	0	1	1.31	0.56	—	—	5	3	13	6	55	31	6	4	1	2	0	0

Chelsea LDWDWLWWWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.26	Premier League	Arsenal	Chelsea	2	1	1.13	1.04	41%	59%	5	3	7	6	66	55	5	10	1	4	0	1
21.02.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Burnley	1	1	1.81	0.58	67%	33%	2	4	9	6	59	28	9	5	3	2	1	0
13.02.26	FA Cup	Hull	Chelsea	0	4	0.82	1.67	23%	77%	3	8	6	5	44	46	7	4	2	2	0	0
10.02.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Leeds	2	2	3.65	1.34	65%	35%	4	2	15	2	54	31	4	1	3	3	0	0
07.02.26	Premier League	Wolverhampton	Chelsea	1	3	1.08	3.15	33%	67%	3	6	8	9	39	35	3	4	1	1	0	0
03.02.26	EFL Cup	Arsenal	Chelsea	1	0	0.90	0.62	—	—	2	2	3	12	37	41	2	5	0	3	0	0
31.01.26	Premier League	Chelsea	West Ham	3	2	2.54	1.11	70%	30%	6	6	8	5	95	33	9	3	3	2	0	1
28.01.26	Champions League	Napoli	Chelsea	2	3	0.97	2.00	46%	54%	5	5	3	6	43	21	4	1	2	1	0	0
25.01.26	Premier League	Crystal Palace	Chelsea	1	3	2.37	2.20	43%	57%	7	6	6	4	49	37	4	5	3	2	1	0
21.01.26	Champions League	Chelsea	Pafos FC	1	0	1.68	0.14	71%	29%	7	2	14	2	110	14	15	2	2	3	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X212,70X3,4022,50

Total 2,75O1,98U1,88

AH 0,0012,0321,83

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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