FT
Uruguay
📍 Estadio Akron, Guadalajara 🕒 18:00 local time +23°, thunderstorm World Cup 2026: standings & schedule →
World Cup 2026: Uruguay vs Spain on 27 Jun 2026 finished 0:1.
Uruguay are in mixed form: 2-6-2 in their last 10, 0.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 5.
Spain are in good form: 5-4-0 in their last 9, 2.0 scored and 0.4 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 32.
Over 2.5 lands in 30% of Uruguay's games and 56% of Spain's; both teams score in 60% and 33%.
Chance quality: xG 0.2 vs 0.9, big chances 1 vs 1.
Head-to-head (1): Uruguay 0, Spain 1, 0 draws.
Predicted: 0:1 (15%) · also likely 0:2 (12%)
Match highlights
▶ ▶ Watch highlights (FIFA)
Pre-match press conference Spain Spain head coach Luis de la Fuente opened the press conference with condolences over the Venezuela tragedy on behalf of the entire delegation. On the squad selection, he noted that the performance against Saudi Arabia gives little reason for changes, but players who have trained at a high level all week deserve their chance — the XI is already decided in his head, with a final staff review planned for the evening.
He described Uruguay as a squad packed with players competing at top European level, calling tomorrow's game the most important of the tournament — the same label he has applied to every match so far. The reported friction between Baena and Valverde drew a calm response: both are professionals, hard football is not the same as dirty football, and the intensity will simply reflect what a World Cup knockout-stage atmosphere demands.
Players yet to feature — Nico Williams, Zubimendi, Eric — were framed as the competitive engine of the squad; their hunger keeps starters sharp, and it was bench players who settled the decisive Euro 2024 matches. Spain's plan is to impose their own game rather than react to Uruguay's must-win situation, with De la Fuente stressing that his side also has plenty at stake for group positioning.
He spoke with genuine warmth about Bielsa, disclosing he spent four or five months attending every Athletic training session during the Argentine's tenure and still has the footage — facing him is described as an honour. The standout trend from the 2026 World Cup, in De la Fuente's reading, is the near-elimination of the quality gap between nations: results across the group stage confirm that no win is guaranteed for anyone.
▶ Watch on YouTube
Lineups
Uruguay
23 Muslera GK Estudiantes …
13 Varela Flamengo RJ
3 Caceres Club America
16 Olivera Napoli
25 Sanabria Real Salt Lake
5 Ugarte Manchester Utd
14 Canobbio Fluminense
6 Bentancur Tottenham
8 Valverde C Real Madrid
20 Araujo Sporting CP
9 Nunez Al Hilal
Bench (15) 1 Rochet GK Internacional
12 Mele GK Monterrey
2 Gimenez Atl. Madrid
10 de Arrascaeta Flamengo RJ
17 Vina River Plate
4 Araujo Barcelona
18 Rodriguez Club America
21 Vinas Oviedo
15 Martinez Palmeiras
19 Aguirre Tigres UANL
7 de la Cruz Flamengo RJ
24 Bueno Wolves
22 Piquerez Palmeiras
26 Zalazar Martinez Braga
11 Pellistri Panathinaikos
Spain
23 Simon GK Ath Bilbao
5 Llorente Atl. Madrid
22 Cubarsi Barcelona
14 Laporte Ath Bilbao
24 Cucurella Chelsea
6 Merino Arsenal
16 Rodri C Manchester C…
20 Pedri Barcelona
19 Lamine Yamal Barcelona
21 Oyarzabal Real Sociedad
15 Baena Atl. Madrid
Bench (15) 1 Raya GK Arsenal
13 Garcia GK Barcelona
8 Ruiz PSG
7 Torres Barcelona
12 Porro Tottenham
18 Zubimendi Arsenal
9 Gavi Barcelona
3 Grimaldo Bayer Leverk…
26 Iglesias Celta Vigo
10 Olmo Barcelona
4 Garcia Barcelona
11 Pino Crystal Palace
17 Williams Ath Bilbao
25 Munoz Osasuna
2 Pubill Atl. Madrid
Match events
70' Sanabria ↓ Rodriguez ↑
76' Lamine Yamal ↓ Williams ↑
Match statistics
By half (1H / 2H) 1H 2H FT Metric H A H A H A Shots on 0 1 1 0 1 1 Corners 0 5 1 1 1 6 Dangerous 16 26 26 10 42 36 Fouls — — — — — — Yellow 0 0 3 1 3 1
Detailed statistics
Goals Threshold: 2,25 Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 Corners Threshold: 8,5 Metric Total Total Total Matches played 2 4 — 20 20 — 20 20 — Total less 1 50% 2 50% — 13 65% 14 70% — 10 50% 9 45% — Total more 1 50% 2 50% — 7 35% 6 30% — 10 50% 11 55% — Matches home / away 1 1 — 20 20 — 20 20 — Total less (home / away) 0 0% 0 0% — 12 60% 11 55% — 14 70% 10 50% — Total more (home / away) 1 100% 1 100% — 8 40% 9 45% — 6 30% 10 50% — Individual total (home / away) 2,00 3,00 5,00 1,80 1,70 3,50 5,80 5,20 11,00 Individual total (overall) 1,50 2,00 3,50 1,80 1,15 2,95 4,95 6,35 11,30 Avg total 3,00 2,50 2,75 3,50 3,00 3,25 9,55 9,10 9,33 Avg total (home / away) 4,00 4,00 4,00 4,00 3,95 3,98 8,05 8,55 8,30 Avg opponents' total 1,50 0,50 2,00 1,70 1,85 3,55 4,60 2,75 7,35 Avg opponents' total (home / away) 2,00 1,00 3,00 2,20 2,25 4,45 2,25 3,35 5,60 Predicted total — — 3,38— — 3,46— — 9,80
Referee Ismail Elfath
Last 2 months: 2 games · 8 YC total · 4 YC/game
Pinnacle cards line: 3 — referee avg above
14.06 Netherlands — Japan 3 - 0 3 03.05 New York City — DC United 1 - 4 5
Last 10 matches Both teams to score: Yes
2.16 · No
1.70 Pinnacle Uruguay10 matches
Both teams to score 60%
Clean sheets 3 / 10
Scored 7 / 10
unbeaten 5
Spain9 matches
Both teams to score 33%
Clean sheets 6 / 9
Scored 7 / 9
unbeaten 32
Line trends
Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest.
How to read the codes →
Spain
↓ Goals (match) under 4.5100% ↓ Goals (match) under 5.5100% ↑ Corners (team) over 3.5100% ↑ Corners (team) over 4.5100% ↓ Cards (match) under 4.5100%
↓ Cards (match) under 5.5100%
Over Under
Head-to-head
No head-to-head matches.
Against common opponents (past year)
Uruguay Spain
Against similar-strength opponents
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Uruguay (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30 Record 0-1-0 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.
Date League Home Away % On Off DA 27.03.26 International Match England Uruguay 1 1 55% 45% 5 1 8 4 51 28 7 0 1 1
Spain (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05 Record 1-2-0 (W-D-L), 2.7 scored / 2.3 conceded avg.
Date League Home Away xG % On Off DA 08.06.25 Nations League Portugal Spain 2 2 1.01 2.06 39% 61% 2 6 5 10 51 72 3 4 3 4 23.03.25 Nations League Spain Netherlands 3 3 3.21 2.80 50% 50% 9 9 10 7 77 81 4 2 2 1 18.11.24 Nations League Spain Switzerland 3 2 2.98 1.44 60% 40% 10 4 11 7 69 20 7 3 2 1
Last matches (past year)
Uruguay D D D D D L D W W D Spain W D W D D W — D W W Date League Home Away xG BC % On Off DA 21.06.26 World Cup 2026 Spain Saudi Arabia 5 0 2.79 0.14 5 0 66% 34% 9 1 13 1 81 — 6 1 0 2 0 0 15.06.26 World Cup 2026 Spain Cape Verde Islands 0 0 2.15 0.28 2 1 74% 26% 7 1 10 2 — — 10 1 0 1 0 0 09.06.26 International Match Peru Spain 1 3 1.41 1.93 37% 63% 2 2 5 4 12 40 4 5 1 0 0 0 04.06.26 Friendlies Spain Iraq 1 1 1.35 0.15 63% 37% 4 2 6 1 58 17 5 3 2 2 0 0 31.03.26 International Match Spain Egypt 0 0 2.32 0.12 60% 40% 6 1 9 2 97 10 10 0 0 4 0 1 27.03.26 International Match Spain Serbia 3 0 — — 71% 29% 8 2 6 0 72 17 5 1 0 0 0 0 18.11.25 Nations League Spain Turkey 2 2 2.60 1.16 73% 27% 9 7 11 6 90 21 6 3 1 5 0 0 15.11.25 Nations League Georgia Spain 0 4 0.28 3.51 39% 61% 2 7 4 7 40 60 4 6 0 1 0 0 14.10.25 Nations League Spain Bulgaria 4 0 3.87 0.37 78% 22% 11 0 22 3 124 11 11 0 0 0 0 0
Bookmaker lines
Bookmaker lines Total 2,25 O 1,80 U 2,05 chart All Pinnacle markets
Goals
Goals totalchart Line O U 1.5 1.30 3.52 1.75 1.37 3.11 2 1.48 2.75 2.25 1.74 2.18 2.5 2.00 1.90 2.75 2.27 1.69 3 2.75 1.48 3.25 3.05 1.38 3.5 3.38 1.32
Handicapchart AH 1 2 -0.25 4.38 1.22 0 3.81 1.28 +0.25 2.69 1.51 +0.5 2.23 1.72 +0.75 1.94 1.98 +1 1.64 2.38 +1.25 1.49 2.74 +1.5 1.38 3.08 +1.75 1.27 3.87
Team goals Team Line O U Uruguay 0.5 1.62 2.31 Spain 1.5 1.82 2.01
Corners
Corners total Line O U 9.5 1.40 2.89 10 1.55 2.43 10.5 1.88 1.95 11 2.27 1.62 11.5 2.68 1.45
Corners AH AH 1 2 +0.5 2.45 1.55 +1 2.08 1.75 +1.5 1.77 2.07 +2 1.53 2.49 +2.5 1.42 2.85
Team corners Team Line O U Uruguay 2 1.92 1.85 Spain 8.5 2.00 1.77
Cards
Cards total Line O U 2.5 1.56 2.40 3 1.91 1.91 3.5 2.39 1.57
Team cards Team Line O U Uruguay 1.5 1.62 2.20 Spain 1.5 2.27 1.58
Other
Both teams to score Yes No 2.16 1.70
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