Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs: Derry vs Waterford on 03 Jul 2026 finished 2:4.
Derry are out of form: 2-4-4 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Waterford are in good form: 4-3-3 in their last 10, 2.3 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Derry's games and 90% of Waterford's; both teams score in 60% and 80%.
Chance quality: xG 1.6 vs 3.3, big chances 3 vs 3.
Head-to-head (5): Derry 3, Waterford 1, 1 draw.
Predicted: 2:0 (10%) · also likely 2:1 (10%)
| 1H | 2H | FT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | H | A | H | A | H | A |
| Shots on | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Corners | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| Dangerous | 24 | 21 | 54 | 20 | 78 | 41 |
| Fouls | — | — | 6 | 14 | 6 | 14 |
| Yellow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Threshold: 2,75 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 10 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Total | Total | Total | ||||||
| Matches played | 10 | 9 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 6 60% | 1 11% | — | 8 40% | 12 60% | — | 8 40% | 12 60% | — |
| Total more | 4 40% | 8 89% | — | 12 60% | 8 40% | — | 8 40% | 8 40% | — |
| Matches home / away | 5 | 4 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 4 80% | 0 0% | — | 12 60% | 10 50% | — | 13 65% | 10 50% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 1 20% | 4 100% | — | 8 40% | 10 50% | — | 5 25% | 8 40% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,40 | 2,00 | 3,40 | 1,80 | 2,00 | 3,80 | 5,95 | 4,50 | 10,45 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,20 | 2,11 | 3,31 | 3,00 | 2,55 | 5,55 | 5,40 | 4,15 | 9,55 |
| Avg total | 2,20 | 4,22 | 3,21 | 5,25 | 4,20 | 4,73 | 9,80 | 10,55 | 10,18 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 1,80 | 4,75 | 3,28 | 4,15 | 3,90 | 4,03 | 9,25 | 9,80 | 9,53 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,00 | 2,11 | 3,11 | 2,25 | 1,65 | 3,90 | 4,40 | 6,40 | 10,80 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 0,40 | 2,75 | 3,15 | 2,35 | 1,90 | 4,25 | 3,30 | 5,30 | 8,60 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 3,24 | — | — | 4,79 | — | — | 9,54 |
Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Derry | 2 | 2 | 2.14 | 0.41 | 37% | 63% | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 27.02.26 | Premier Division | Derry | Waterford | 4 | 2 | 2.60 | 2.19 | 67% | 33% | 12 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 77 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 17.10.25 | Premier Division | Waterford | Derry | 1 | 2 | 1.33 | 0.89 | 53% | 47% | 6 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 58 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.07.25 | Premier Division | Derry | Waterford | 7 | 2 | 1.25 | 0.83 | 67% | 33% | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 25.04.25 | Premier Division | Waterford | Derry | 2 | 1 | 1.25 | 1.14 | 41% | 59% | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 28.02.25 | Premier Division | Derry | Waterford | 1 | 2 | 3.26 | 1.04 | 71% | 29% | 7 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23.08.24 | Premier Division | Waterford | Derry | 0 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.46 | 45% | 55% | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 47 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 03.06.24 | Premier Division | Derry | Waterford | 3 | 0 | 1.14 | 0.58 | 51% | 49% | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.04.24 | Premier Division | Waterford | Derry | 0 | 2 | 0.99 | 2.63 | 45% | 55% | 0 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 39 | 52 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 08.03.24 | Premier Division | Derry | Waterford | 3 | 0 | 2.36 | 0.28 | 53% | 47% | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 58 | 68 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Drogheda | 2 | 0 | 1.44 | 0.40 | 3 | 0 | 56% | 44% | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 22.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Shamrock Rovers | Derry | 1 | 1 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 4 | 3 | 70% | 30% | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 29.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Dundalk | Derry | 2 | 1 | 1.76 | 0.77 | 3 | 1 | 40% | 60% | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 25.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Shelbourne | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0.07 | 0 | 72% | 28% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 62 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22.05.26 | Premier Division | Derry | St Patricks | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 58% | 42% | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 2 | ||
| 08.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Drogheda | Derry | 1 | 0 | 1.08 | 0.61 | 31% | 69% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 90 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | ||
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Dundalk | Waterford | 2 | 3 | 1.47 | 2.14 | 54% | 46% | 6 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 53 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 19.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 1.10 | 0 | 4 | 28% | 72% | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| 29.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Drogheda | Waterford | 3 | 3 | — | — | 56% | 44% | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 75 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 22.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Shelbourne | Waterford | 2 | 1 | 2.73 | 0.26 | 69% | 31% | 8 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 18.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Drogheda | 2 | 1 | 1.71 | 1.37 | 48% | 52% | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | ||
| 08.05.26 | Premier Division | St Patricks | Waterford | 4 | 1 | 3.20 | 1.78 | 67% | 33% | 10 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 75 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 04.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Dundalk | 3 | 3 | 2.46 | 3.63 | 44% | 56% | 7 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 59 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | ||
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Record 4-0-0 (W-D-L), 2.3 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Drogheda | 2 | 0 | 1.44 | 0.40 | 3 | 0 | 56% | 44% | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 27.02.26 | Premier Division | Derry | Waterford | 4 | 2 | 2.60 | 2.19 | 67% | 33% | 12 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 77 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 06.02.26 | Premier Division | Derry | Sligo Rovers | 2 | 1 | 2.22 | 0.72 | 69% | 31% | 7 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 85 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 01.11.25 | Premier Division | Cork City | Derry | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.72 | 47% | 53% | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 39 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | ||
Record 1-2-2 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Dundalk | Waterford | 2 | 3 | 1.47 | 2.14 | 54% | 46% | 6 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 53 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 19.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 1.10 | 0 | 4 | 28% | 72% | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| 29.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Drogheda | Waterford | 3 | 3 | — | — | 56% | 44% | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 75 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 22.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Shelbourne | Waterford | 2 | 1 | 2.73 | 0.26 | 69% | 31% | 8 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 15.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Derry | 2 | 2 | 2.14 | 0.41 | 37% | 63% | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ||
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Drogheda | 2 | 0 | 1.44 | 0.40 | 3 | 0 | 56% | 44% | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 22.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Shamrock Rovers | Derry | 1 | 1 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 4 | 3 | 70% | 30% | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 19.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Galway | Derry | 2 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.46 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67% | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 12.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Bohemians Dublin | 4 | 1 | 3.23 | 0.81 | 5 | 1 | 43% | 57% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 6 | — | — | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| 29.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Dundalk | Derry | 2 | 1 | 1.76 | 0.77 | 3 | 1 | 40% | 60% | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 25.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Shelbourne | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0.07 | 0 | 72% | 28% | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 62 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22.05.26 | Premier Division | Derry | St Patricks | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 58% | 42% | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 2 | ||
| 15.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Derry | 2 | 2 | 2.14 | 0.41 | 37% | 63% | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 08.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Drogheda | Derry | 1 | 0 | 1.08 | 0.61 | 31% | 69% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 90 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 04.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Derry | Galway | 1 | 1 | 1.14 | 0.33 | 70% | 30% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 100 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Dundalk | Waterford | 2 | 3 | 1.47 | 2.14 | 54% | 46% | 6 | 6 | 17 | 13 | 53 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 19.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Shamrock Rovers | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 1.10 | 0 | 4 | 28% | 72% | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12.06.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Sligo Rovers | 4 | 0 | 2.97 | 0.40 | 5 | 0 | 37% | 63% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 29.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Drogheda | Waterford | 3 | 3 | — | — | 56% | 44% | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 75 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 22.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Shelbourne | Waterford | 2 | 1 | 2.73 | 0.26 | 69% | 31% | 8 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 47 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 18.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Drogheda | 2 | 1 | 1.71 | 1.37 | 48% | 52% | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 15.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Derry | 2 | 2 | 2.14 | 0.41 | 37% | 63% | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 08.05.26 | Premier Division | St Patricks | Waterford | 4 | 1 | 3.20 | 1.78 | 67% | 33% | 10 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 75 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 04.05.26 | Republic of Ireland Premier Division Play-Offs | Waterford | Dundalk | 3 | 3 | 2.46 | 3.63 | 44% | 56% | 7 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 59 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Line | O | U |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.21 | 4.63 |
| 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.71 |
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.26 |
| 2.75 | 1.85 | 2.02 |
| 3 | 2.13 | 1.76 |
| 3.25 | 2.42 | 1.59 |
| 3.5 | 2.70 | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 5.13 | 1.18 |
| AH | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.72 | 1.30 |
| -1.75 | 2.84 | 1.45 |
| -1.5 | 2.40 | 1.62 |
| -1.25 | 2.11 | 1.79 |
| -1 | 1.83 | 2.07 |
| -0.75 | 1.62 | 2.39 |
| -0.5 | 1.50 | 2.71 |
| -0.25 | 1.33 | 3.44 |
| 0 | 1.18 | 5.31 |
| Team | Line | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry | 1.5 | 1.53 | 2.57 |
| Waterford | 0.5 | 1.61 | 2.36 |
| Line | O | U |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.60 | 2.29 |
| 10 | 1.76 | 2.04 |
| 10.5 | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| 11 | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| 11.5 | 2.58 | 1.48 |
| 13 | 1.43 | 2.69 |
| 13.5 | 1.70 | 2.09 |
| 14 | 2.01 | 1.77 |
| 14.5 | 2.36 | 1.55 |
| 15 | 3.17 | 1.32 |
| AH | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| -4 | 2.70 | 1.35 |
| -3.5 | 2.21 | 1.59 |
| -3 | 1.97 | 1.79 |
| -2.5 | 1.74 | 2.03 |
| -2 | 1.47 | 2.41 |
| Team | Line | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry | 6.5 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| Derry | 7.5 | 1.71 | 2.03 |
| Waterford | 3.5 | 2.03 | 1.71 |
| Waterford | 6 | 2.06 | 1.68 |
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 2.02 |