Nations League
ноя 16, 2025 at 22:45
FT
Italy
1:4
Norway
Nations League: Italy vs Norway on 16 Nov 2025 finished 1:4.
Italy are in excellent form: 8-1-1 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They are winning 6 straight.
Norway are in excellent form: 6-3-1 in their last 10, 3.4 scored and 0.9 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 11 and scoring in 14 straight.
Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Italy's games and 70% of Norway's; both teams score in 40% and 80%.
Chance quality: xG 1.3 vs 1.9.
Head-to-head (4): Italy 1, Norway 3, 0 draws.
Predicted: 1:1 (12%) · also likely 1:0 (10%)
Match statistics
Detailed statistics
| Goals Threshold: 2,8 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 9,5 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Total | Total | Total | ||||||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 7 35% | 5 25% | — | 15 75% | 19 95% | — | 10 50% | 14 70% | — |
| Total more | 13 65% | 15 75% | — | 5 25% | 1 5% | — | 10 50% | 6 30% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 6 30% | 8 40% | — | 17 85% | 15 75% | — | 9 45% | 9 45% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 14 70% | 12 60% | — | 3 15% | 5 25% | — | 11 55% | 11 55% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,95 | 1,90 | 3,85 | 1,55 | 1,63 | 3,18 | 6,95 | 4,85 | 11,80 |
| Individual total (overall) | 2,05 | 2,95 | 5,00 | 1,50 | 1,15 | 2,65 | 5,80 | 5,85 | 11,65 |
| Avg total | 3,35 | 4,00 | 3,68 | 3,45 | 2,10 | 2,78 | 9,95 | 8,30 | 9,13 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 3,00 | 3,25 | 3,13 | 3,25 | 3,30 | 3,28 | 10,65 | 9,10 | 9,88 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,30 | 1,05 | 2,35 | 1,95 | 0,95 | 2,90 | 4,15 | 2,45 | 6,60 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,05 | 1,35 | 2,40 | 1,70 | 1,75 | 3,45 | 3,70 | 4,25 | 7,95 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 4,06 | — | — | 2,96 | — | — | 10,76 |
Last 10 matches
Italy10 matches
Both teams to score40%
Clean sheets6 / 10
Scored10 / 10
won 6 straightscored 6 straight
Norway10 matches
Both teams to score80%
Clean sheets2 / 10
Scored9 / 10
unbeaten 11scored 14 straight
Head-to-head
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06.06.25 | Nations League | Norway | Italy | 3 | 0 | 1.62 | 0.20 | 38% | 62% | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 58 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 13.10.15 | Italy | Norway | 0 | 1 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 28 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13.10.15 | Euro 2016 Qualifying | Italy | Norway | 2 | 1 | — | — | 58% | 42% | 9 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 61 | 48 | 8 | 2 | — | — |
Against common opponents (2 months)
Italy
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.25 | Nations League | Italy | Israel | 3 | 0 | 2.24 | 0.73 | 52% | 48% | 6 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 11.10.25 | Nations League | Estonia | Italy | 1 | 3 | 0.97 | 2.29 | 36% | 64% | 1 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 47 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
Norway
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.11.25 | Nations League | Norway | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 1.98 | 0.72 | 68% | 32% | 7 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 69 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.10.25 | Nations League | Norway | Israel | 5 | 0 | 2.17 | 0.14 | 54% | 46% | 10 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 47 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Against similar-strength opponents
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Italy (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05
Record 1-3-0 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.24 | Nations League | Italy | Belgium | 2 | 2 | 1.59 | 0.96 | 38% | 62% | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 71 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 04.06.24 | International Match | Italy | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 53% | 47% | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 53 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.03.24 | International Match | Italy | Venezuela | 2 | 1 | 1.10 | 2.38 | 66% | 34% | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20.11.23 | Euro 2024 Qualifying | Ukraine | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 1.56 | 42% | 58% | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 60 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Norway (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.25
Record 0-1-2 (W-D-L), 1.7 scored / 3.7 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.24 | Nations League | Austria | Norway | 5 | 1 | 2.59 | 0.80 | 66% | 34% | 10 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 08.06.24 | International Match | Denmark | Norway | 3 | 1 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 43% | 57% | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 57 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| 19.11.23 | Euro 2024 Qualifying | Scotland | Norway | 3 | 3 | 1.14 | 2.34 | 52% | 48% | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Last matches (2 months)
Italy WWW
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.11.25 | Nations League | Moldova | Italy | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 2.58 | 23% | 77% | 1 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 21 | 104 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 14.10.25 | Nations League | Italy | Israel | 3 | 0 | 2.24 | 0.73 | 52% | 48% | 6 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 46 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 11.10.25 | Nations League | Estonia | Italy | 1 | 3 | 0.97 | 2.29 | 36% | 64% | 1 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 47 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
Norway WDW
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.11.25 | Nations League | Norway | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 1.98 | 0.72 | 68% | 32% | 7 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 69 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14.10.25 | Friendlies | Norway | New Zealand | 1 | 1 | — | — | 64% | 36% | 5 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 63 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 11.10.25 | Nations League | Norway | Israel | 5 | 0 | 2.17 | 0.14 | 54% | 46% | 10 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 47 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Bookmaker lines
Bookmaker lines
1X211,92X3,5623,82
Total 2,75O1,96U1,85
AH -0,5011,9321,88