Neftchi Baku vs Fk Qarabag — preview, stats, live

Premier League

фев 21, 2026 at 18:00

Neftchi Baku

Fk Qarabag

Neftchi Baku host Fk Qarabag in Premier League on 21 Feb 2026 at 18:00.

Neftchi Baku are in excellent form: 8-1-1 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 6.

Fk Qarabag are in good form: 5-1-3 in their last 9, 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Goals look likely: over 2.5 in 80% of Neftchi Baku's games and 78% of Fk Qarabag's.

Head-to-head (4): Neftchi Baku 1, Fk Qarabag 3, 0 draws.

Predicted: 0:1 (16%) · also likely 1:1 (12%)

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	4	9	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	2 50%	3 33%	—	15 75%	13 65%	—	12 60%	6 30%	—
Total more	2 50%	6 67%	—	5 25%	7 35%	—	5 25%	11 55%	—
Matches home / away	2	5	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 100%	1 20%	—	14 70%	13 65%	—	11 55%	6 30%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	4 80%	—	6 30%	7 35%	—	6 30%	13 65%	—
Individual total (home / away)	0,50	1,40	1,90	1,75	1,55	3,30	5,30	5,90	11,20
Individual total (overall)	2,00	1,33	3,33	1,80	1,30	3,10	4,65	6,35	11,00
Avg total	2,25	3,56	2,90	3,55	3,20	3,38	7,40	10,05	8,73
Avg total (home / away)	0,50	3,40	1,95	3,75	3,25	3,50	7,80	10,40	9,10
Avg opponents' total	0,25	2,22	2,47	1,75	1,90	3,65	2,75	3,70	6,45
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,00	2,00	2,00	2,00	1,79	3,79	2,50	4,53	7,03
Predicted total	—	—	2,43	—	—	3,30	—	—	10,05

Last 10 matches

Neftchi Baku10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored10 / 10

unbeaten 6

Fk Qarabag9 matches

Both teams to score67%

Clean sheets2 / 9

Scored8 / 9

scored 5 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
09.11.25	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	2	0	55%	45%	9	3	9	5	89	60	8	4	1	1	0
19.04.25	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	3	0	—	—	10	1	13	7	91	37	8	2	0	2	0
16.02.25	Premier League	Neftchi Baku	Fk Qarabag	0	1	—	—	2	3	10	5	52	32	2	4	2	2	1
01.12.24	Premier League	Neftchi Baku	Fk Qarabag	0	3	—	—	4	8	6	6	56	90	2	8	2	3	0
20.09.24	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	4	0	—	—	10	4	6	7	92	58	6	6	2	0	0
04.05.24	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	5	0	—	—	9	4	9	2	87	55	8	5	2	3	1
24.04.24	Cup	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	4	1	—	—	14	4	9	6	80	52	6	1	1	3	0
02.04.24	Cup	Neftchi Baku	Fk Qarabag	0	4	—	—	3	7	6	10	34	68	2	4	4	2	0
03.03.24	Premier League	Neftchi Baku	Fk Qarabag	1	4	—	—	3	15	3	5	79	71	10	3	2	1	0
18.12.23	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	2	0	—	—	6	2	18	1	120	48	6	3	0	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Neftchi Baku

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
15.02.26	Premier League	FC Kapaz	Neftchi Baku	1	3	44%	56%	2	12	4	12	41	53	4	2	0	1	1	0

Fk Qarabag

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
24.01.26	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	FC Kapaz	0	2	65%	35%	7	2	9	3	93	26	9	1	0	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Neftchi Baku (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-3-2 (W-D-L), 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
23.01.26	Premier League	Neftchi Baku	Zira Fk	0	0	55%	45%	3	3	4	3	80	66	2	2	0	0	0
08.12.25	Premier League	Sabah Baku	Neftchi Baku	2	0	59%	41%	8	3	11	0	105	61	3	0	0	2	0
28.11.25	Premier League	PFK Turan Tovuz	Neftchi Baku	0	0	41%	59%	3	2	4	3	42	55	3	5	1	0	0
09.11.25	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	2	0	55%	45%	9	3	9	5	89	60	8	4	1	1	0
03.10.25	Premier League	Zira Fk	Neftchi Baku	2	2	54%	46%	5	4	3	0	40	43	0	5	4	3	1

Fk Qarabag (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 2-1-1 (W-D-L), 1.5 scored / 1.3 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.02.26	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	PFK Turan Tovuz	1	0	—	—	64%	36%	7	1	3	3	53	36	13	4	2	5
10.12.25	Champions League	Fk Qarabag	Ajax	2	4	1.06	1.67	47%	53%	6	8	11	12	62	30	4	6	0	1
06.12.25	Premier League	Zira Fk	Fk Qarabag	1	1	—	—	36%	64%	2	3	4	6	58	111	3	2	0	3
09.11.25	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	Neftchi Baku	2	0	—	—	55%	45%	9	3	9	5	89	60	8	4	1	1

Last matches (2 months)

Neftchi Baku WWWD

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
15.02.26	Premier League	FC Kapaz	Neftchi Baku	1	3	44%	56%	2	12	4	12	41	53	4	2	0	1	1
10.02.26	Premier League	Neftchi Baku	Gabala	1	0	60%	40%	7	3	11	10	88	68	8	2	4	0	1
01.02.26	Premier League	Araz Nakhchivan PFK	Neftchi Baku	0	4	60%	40%	4	9	8	11	67	87	5	7	1	2	0
23.01.26	Premier League	Neftchi Baku	Zira Fk	0	0	55%	45%	3	3	4	3	80	66	2	2	0	0	0

Fk Qarabag LWWLWLLWW—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
18.02.26	Champions League	Fk Qarabag	Newcastle United	1	6	0.45	5.56	43%	57%	2	14	6	8	25	55	8	6	0	1	0	0
14.02.26	Premier League	Imisli FK	Fk Qarabag	0	1	—	—	35%	65%	3	4	3	6	29	74	1	13	1	0	1	1
10.02.26	Premier League	Shamakhi FK	Fk Qarabag	1	2	—	—	30%	70%	4	4	3	11	33	72	4	7	1	4	0	0
05.02.26	Cup	Shamakhi FK	Fk Qarabag	2	1	—	—	36%	64%	3	2	1	4	35	79	1	7	2	1	0	0
01.02.26	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	PFK Turan Tovuz	1	0	—	—	64%	36%	7	1	3	3	53	36	13	4	2	5	0	0
28.01.26	Champions League	Liverpool	Fk Qarabag	6	0	5.59	0.21	56%	44%	12	1	26	4	81	26	14	1	0	1	0	0
24.01.26	Premier League	Fk Qarabag	FC Kapaz	0	2	—	—	65%	35%	7	2	9	3	93	26	9	1	0	1	0	0
21.01.26	Champions League	Fk Qarabag	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	2	1.67	1.19	58%	42%	5	5	6	3	54	45	7	1	1	2	0	0
16.01.26	Europe Friendlies	Zaglebie Lubin	Fk Qarabag	1	3	—	—	50%	50%	4	11	4	13	16	59	1	5	1	0	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X213,90X3,5021,75

Total 2,50O2,00U1,80

AH +0,7511,8022,00

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.75	1.39	2.81
2	1.51	2.44
2.25	1.76	2.02
2.5	2.03	1.80
2.75	2.29	1.59
3	2.79	1.40
3.25	3.13	1.32

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Neftchi Baku	0.5	1.58	2.36
Fk Qarabag	1.5	1.94	1.81

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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