BRAZIL SERIE A: Sao Paulo vs Bahia on 03 May 2026 finished 2:2.
Sao Paulo arrive out of form: 1-5-4 in their last 10, 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Both teams scored in 60%, over 2.5 in 40%.
Bahia arrive out of form: 2-4-4 in their last 10, 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded per game. A high-scoring side — 80% went over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-head (5): Sao Paulo 3, Bahia 1, 1 draw.
Verdict: statistically it's finely balanced; the market gives a slight edge to Sao Paulo (2.03).
| 1H | 2H | FT | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | H | A | H | A | H | A |
| Shots on | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 10 |
| Dangerous | 22 | 33 | 20 | 28 | 42 | 61 |
| Fouls | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yellow | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Threshold: 2,5 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 9,5 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | SP | Total | SP | Total | SP | Total | |||
| Matches played | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 13 65% | 8 40% | — | 10 50% | 9 45% | — | 4 20% | 9 45% | — |
| Total more | 7 35% | 12 60% | — | 10 50% | 11 55% | — | 16 80% | 11 55% | — |
| Matches home / away | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 12 60% | 9 45% | — | 9 45% | 6 30% | — | 7 35% | 11 55% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 8 40% | 11 55% | — | 11 55% | 14 70% | — | 13 65% | 9 45% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,60 | 1,20 | 2,80 | 1,75 | 2,55 | 4,30 | 6,45 | 3,90 | 10,35 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,30 | 1,60 | 2,90 | 2,10 | 2,45 | 4,55 | 6,95 | 5,40 | 12,35 |
| Avg total | 2,05 | 3,00 | 2,53 | 4,45 | 5,05 | 4,75 | 11,50 | 10,00 | 10,75 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 2,40 | 2,65 | 2,53 | 4,55 | 5,65 | 5,10 | 10,95 | 9,60 | 10,28 |
| Avg opponents' total | 0,75 | 1,40 | 2,15 | 2,35 | 2,60 | 4,95 | 4,55 | 4,60 | 9,15 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 0,80 | 1,45 | 2,25 | 2,80 | 3,10 | 5,90 | 4,50 | 5,70 | 10,20 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 2,71 | — | — | 4,83 | — | — | 11,31 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.25 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Bahia | 2 | 0 | 1.29 | 0.95 | 78% | 22% | 5 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 01.06.25 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Sao Paulo | 2 | 1 | 2.33 | 1.86 | 58% | 42% | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| 06.11.24 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Sao Paulo | 0 | 3 | 1.38 | 1.00 | 52% | 48% | 6 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 70 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 30.06.24 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Bahia | 3 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.08 | 40% | 60% | 4 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 30.11.23 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Sao Paulo | 0 | 1 | 0.61 | 0.94 | 33% | 67% | 3 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 56 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 30.07.23 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Bahia | 0 | 0 | — | — | 65% | 35% | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 08.11.21 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Sao Paulo | 1 | 0 | — | — | 46% | 54% | 4 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 56 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| 11.07.21 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Bahia | 1 | 0 | — | — | 65% | 36% | 5 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 29.11.20 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Sao Paulo | 1 | 3 | — | — | 40% | 60% | 6 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 70 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| 21.08.20 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Bahia | 1 | 1 | — | — | 65% | 33% | 6 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 53 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 54% | 43% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 58 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Vitoria BA | Sao Paulo | 2 | 0 | 1.02 | 0.66 | 40% | 60% | 6 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 64 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 02.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Internacional | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.86 | 33% | 67% | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 60 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | 0 | 1 | — | — | 63% | 37% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 70 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 16.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bragantino | Sao Paulo | 1 | 2 | 0.64 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 64 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Mirassol | Bahia | 1 | 2 | 1.15 | 1.93 | — | — | 41% | 59% | 6 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 06.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Palmeiras | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 59% | 41% | 6 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 64 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 19.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Bragantino | 2 | 0 | 2.05 | 1.21 | — | — | 57% | 43% | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 15.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Internacional | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 0 | — | 51% | 47% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 12.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Vitoria BA | 1 | 1 | 1.82 | 0.42 | — | — | 62% | 38% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 12.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Vitoria BA | 1 | 1 | 1.82 | 0.42 | — | — | 62% | 38% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 07.03.26 | Campeonato Baiano | Bahia | Vitoria BA | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 50% | 50% | 3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.04.26 | Copa Sudamericana | Los Millionarios | Sao Paulo | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.37 | 60% | 40% | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 54% | 43% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 58 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.04.26 | Copa do Brasil | Sao Paulo | EC Juventude | 1 | 0 | 1.93 | 0.11 | 68% | 32% | 6 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 19.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Vasco da Gama (Bra) | Sao Paulo | 2 | 1 | 2.36 | 2.66 | 63% | 37% | 5 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 63 | 40 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 15.04.26 | Copa Sudamericana | Sao Paulo | O Higgins | 2 | 1 | 1.06 | 1.39 | 52% | 54% | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Vitoria BA | Sao Paulo | 2 | 0 | 1.02 | 0.66 | 40% | 60% | 6 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 64 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 08.04.26 | Copa Sudamericana | Boston River | Sao Paulo | 0 | 1 | — | — | 29% | 71% | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 60 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 05.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Cruzeiro | 4 | 1 | 1.96 | 1.46 | 37% | 63% | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 43 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 02.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Internacional | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.86 | 33% | 67% | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 60 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 22.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Sao Paulo | Palmeiras | 0 | 1 | — | — | 63% | 37% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 70 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | BC | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Santos | 2 | 2 | 1.19 | 2.13 | — | — | 64% | 36% | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 23.04.26 | Copa do Brasil | Bahia | Remo | 1 | 3 | 1.26 | 1.05 | — | — | 68% | 32% | 6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 63 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 20.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Flamengo | Bahia | 2 | 0 | 1.90 | 0.56 | — | — | 52% | 48% | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 79 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Mirassol | Bahia | 1 | 2 | 1.15 | 1.93 | — | — | 41% | 59% | 6 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 06.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Palmeiras | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 59% | 41% | 6 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 64 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 02.04.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Atletico Paranaense | 3 | 0 | 1.15 | 0.55 | — | — | 52% | 48% | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 22.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Remo | Bahia | 4 | 1 | 1.50 | 1.34 | — | — | 37% | 63% | 10 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 47 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| 19.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Bragantino | 2 | 0 | 2.05 | 1.21 | — | — | 57% | 43% | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 15.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Internacional | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0.57 | 0.84 | 0 | — | 51% | 47% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 12.03.26 | BRAZIL SERIE A | Bahia | Vitoria BA | 1 | 1 | 1.82 | 0.42 | — | — | 62% | 38% | 7 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |