List of betting outcomes for today where our Poisson model (based on xG/PredictedTotal/team strength) predicts a higher probability than the bookmaker's odds imply. Additional signals: team trends and last-10-matches form.
| Time | Match | Outcome | Fair | Book | Edge | VS | Result | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:30 05.06 |
Langenrohr — USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Landesliga
|
Handicap AH2 -0.5 | 1,42 | 1,95 | +19,1% | 59 | 2:0L | form 71 |
| 18:30 05.06 |
Edustus IPS — MiPK
Kolmonen
|
Handicap AH1 +0.5 | 1,43 | 1,95 | +18,8% | 77 | 3:2W | trend 100 + form 88 |
| 20:00 05.06 |
Usv Gnas — Leoben
Landesliga
|
Handicap AH2 +1.5 | 1,44 | 1,83 | +14,5% | 35 | 5:2L | |
| 18:15 05.06 |
LPS — Atlantis FC/Pm
Kolmonen
|
Handicap AH2 +0.5 | 1,56 | 1,98 | +13,4% | 34 | 4:1L | |
| 13:15 05.06 |
Oakleigh — St Albans Saints
Australia Victoria Premier League
|
Handicap AH2 +1.5 | 1,55 | 1,88 | +11,1% | 28 | 2:2W | |
| 13:30 05.06 |
Pine Hills — Mitchelton
Australia FQPL 2
|
Handicap AH2 +0.5 | 1,55 | 1,80 | +9,0% | 21 | 4:2L | |
| 18:30 05.06 |
Tips — FC Kontu
Kolmonen
|
Handicap AH1 -0.5 | 1,70 | 1,98 | +8,1% | 22 | 2:0W | |
| 13:30 05.06 |
Busan l Park — Chungnam Asan FC
K-League 2
|
Handicap AH2 +0.5 | 1,72 | 1,98 | +7,4% | 23 | 2:2W | |
| 20:00 05.06 |
Jonsereds IF — Galtabäcks BK
Division 2
|
Handicap AH2 +0.5 | 1,82 | 2,00 | +4,9% | 11 | 4:2L | |
| 16:15 05.06 |
KVZ SC — Zimamoto SC
Zanzibar Premier League
|
Handicap AH1 -0.5 | 1,80 | 1,95 | +4,2% | 45 | 2:1W | trend 77 + form 90 |
| Model said | Actual | Picks |
|---|---|---|
| ~57,4% | 50,4% | 6 562 |
| ~64,3% | 51,8% | 10 216 |
| ~73,2% | 53,2% | 2 817 |
| Edge | Winrate | CLV | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|
| <5% | 50,9% | +0,15% | 3 614 |
| 5-10% | 51,0% | +0,28% | 7 342 |
| 10-20% | 51,8% | +0,34% | 7 330 |
| 20%+ | 54,8% | +0,37% | 1 309 |