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Top value picks for 2026-06-06 archive

List of betting outcomes for today where our Poisson model (based on xG/PredictedTotal/team strength) predicts a higher probability than the bookmaker's odds imply. Additional signals: team trends and last-10-matches form.

Fair — fair odds by our Poisson model (1/probability). Book — actual bookmaker odds. The lower «Fair» is vs «Book» — the more value. Edge — probability gap. VS — 0–100, overall rank by signals (edge + trend + form). Not financial advice — bet responsibly.
‹ 05.06 2026-06-06 07.06 › Today
Market:
All 1X2 Total Handicap
Sort:
VS Edge Time
📊 Report
Time Match Outcome Fair Book Edge VS Result Signals
15:00 06.06 Brabrand — Fremad Amager
DENMARK DIVISION 2
 Total Under 2.5 1,33 1,98 +24,6% 62 1:2L
18:30 06.06 Horitschon — ASK Kohfidisch
Landesliga
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,27 1,80 +23,1% 56 4:3L form 66
19:00 06.06 JS Soualem — Raja De Beni Mellal
Moroccan Botola 2
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,29 1,83 +22,9% 51 1:1W
19:30 06.06 Deportes Copiapo — Santiago Wanderers
Segunda
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,31 1,85 +22,6% 63 1:0L form 70
09:00 06.06 Gifu — Gainare Tottori
Japan J2/J3 Centennial League
 Total Under 2.5 1,34 1,93 +22,5% 51 1:1W
08:30 06.06 Campbelltown City — Para Hills Knights
NPL South Australia
 Handicap AH2 +2.5 1,34 1,90 +22,1% 43 3:0L
13:00 06.06 Anioly Garczegorze — Sokol Bozepole Wielkie
IV Liga
 Handicap AH2 -0.5 1,38 1,98 +22,0% 51 1:1L
19:00 06.06 Union Sportive Boujaad — Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Moroccan Botola 2
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,37 1,95 +22,0% 55 0:1W form 75
21:00 06.06 Mouloudia Oujda — USM Oujda
Moroccan Botola 2
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,29 1,80 +21,9% 50 2:1L
11:00 06.06 Bayside Argonauts FC — Kingston City
NPL Victoria League 2
 Handicap AH2 +1.5 1,34 1,85 +20,6% 43 5:0L
13:00 06.06 Anioly Garczegorze — Sokol Bozepole Wielkie
IV Liga
 1X2 Away 1,38 1,91 +20,3% 48 1:1L
08:00 06.06 Pocheon Citizen FC — Busan Transportation
National League K3
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,43 1,95 +18,5% 51 1:1W form 83
20:00 06.06 MC Oran — USM Alger
Ligue 1
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,39 1,87 +18,3% 42 2:2W
12:00 06.06 Western City Rangers — Canterbury Bankstown FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
 Handicap AH2 -0.5 1,41 1,90 +18,2% 45 1:1L
23:00 06.06 Yaracuyanos — Atletico Barinas
Segunda Division
 Total Over 2.5 1,44 1,95 +18,1% 51 1:2W
12:00 06.06 Ho Chi Minh City — Cs. Dong Thap
V-League 2
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,44 1,95 +18,1% 46 2:0L
17:00 06.06 Sokol Ostroda — Polonia Lidzbark
IV Liga
 Total Over 3.5 1,43 1,93 +17,9% 44 0:2L
17:00 06.06 MyPa — PPJ
Kakkonen
 Total Under 3.5 1,39 1,83 +17,3% 40 1:3L
23:00 06.06 CS Maritimo de La Guaira — Dynamo Puerto FC
Segunda Division
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,50 2,00 +16,7% 39 2:1L
21:00 06.06 Los Andes — CA Estudiantes Caseros
Primera B Metropolitana
 Total Under 1.5 1,50 2,00 +16,6% 43 0:0W
17:00 06.06 Fylkir — Throttur Reykjavik
1. Deild
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,44 1,90 +16,6% 41 1:3W
12:00 06.06 Western City Rangers — Canterbury Bankstown FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
 1X2 Away 1,41 1,83 +16,3% 42 1:1L
08:30 06.06 South Adelaide FC — Adelaide Cobras
Australia South Australia State League 1
 Handicap AH1 +0.5 1,47 1,90 +15,4% 45 0:2L
16:00 06.06 IF Vestri — Volsungur
1. Deild
 Handicap AH2 +1.5 1,43 1,80 +14,6% 29 5:1L
12:30 06.06 Tulevik Viljandi — Johvi FC Phoenix
Esiliiga B
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,52 1,93 +13,9% 40 4:2L form 70
14:30 06.06 Marienlyst — ASA Aarhus
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
 1X2 Away 1,57 2,00 +13,8% 44 2:2L form 91
17:00 06.06 Fjardabyggd — Kfg
2. Deild
 Handicap AH2 +1.5 1,53 1,93 +13,5% 38 5:1L form 66
15:00 06.06 Roskilde — FC HIK
DENMARK DIVISION 2
 Handicap AH2 +1.5 1,51 1,90 +13,5% 29 3:2W
17:00 06.06 Fjolnir — Selfoss
2. Deild
 Total Over 3.5 1,56 1,98 +13,4% 35 2:3W
22:00 06.06 Santiago City — Colina
Segunda
 Total Under 2.5 1,57 1,98 +13,0% 46 1:0W
14:00 06.06 Torslanda — Hestrafors IF
Division 2
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,61 2,00 +12,0% 33 2:2W
14:00 06.06 Valerenga If 2 — Nordstrand
3 Division
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,58 1,95 +12,0% 30 3:2L
21:30 06.06 12 de Octubre de San Domingo — Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Tercera Division
 Total Over 2.5 1,62 2,00 +11,8% 30 2:0L
18:00 06.06 CD Atletico del Oriente — Puente Alto
Tercera
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,60 1,95 +11,4% 27 3:2L
13:30 06.06 Hwaseong — Suwon Bluewings
K-League 2
 Handicap AH1 +0.5 1,53 1,85 +11,3% 52 1:2L form 83
15:00 06.06 Bronshoj — Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
 1X2 Away 1,42 1,67 +10,4% 38 1:2W form 92
17:30 06.06 Gloria Popesti Leordeni — Unirea Alba Iulia
Liga III
 Handicap AH1 +0.5 1,57 1,88 +10,3% 36 2:0W form 83
16:00 06.06 CA Colegiales Par — Sportivo Iteno
Paraguay Tercera Division
 1X2 Away 1,70 2,00 +8,8% 26 1:1L
23:00 06.06 Deportivo Lara — Urena
Segunda Division
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,58 1,83 +8,7% 29 2:3W
11:00 06.06 Souths United — Virginia United
Australia FQPL 2
 Total Under 3.5 1,69 1,98 +8,5% 34 0:3W
17:00 06.06 Retz — Favoritner AC
Regionalliga
 1X2 Away 1,42 1,60 +8,2% 31 2:1L form 77
13:00 06.06 Kawasaki — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J-League
 Handicap AH2 -0.5 1,73 2,00 +7,8% 28 0:1W form 70
13:00 06.06 Kawasaki — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
J-League
 1X2 Away 1,73 2,00 +7,8% 28 0:1W form 70
13:00 06.06 Kingsley Westside — Quinns
Western Australia State League 1
 Handicap AH2 +0.5 1,67 1,90 +7,4% 39 7:0L trend 66
21:30 06.06 Deportivo Armenio — Defensores Unidos
Primera B Metropolitana
 Total Over 1.5 1,58 1,78 +7,0% 36 3:0W
17:00 06.06 Gefle — Hammarby Tff
Division 1 North
 1X2 Away 1,49 1,65 +6,7% 38 0:4W form 73
17:00 06.06 Lac Inter — Stadlau
Landesliga
 1X2 Home 1,58 1,70 +4,6% 26 2:2L form 87
21:00 06.06 Presidente Hayes — Club River Plate Asuncion
Paraguay Tercera Division
 Handicap AH2 -0.5 1,78 1,93 +4,2% 40 0:1W trend 72 + form 70
09:30 06.06 Hakoah Sydney City East — Blacktown Spartans
Australia New South Wales League 1
 Handicap AH2 -0.5 1,76 1,90 +4,2% 28 2:1L
11:00 06.06 Caboolture — Ipswich City
NPL Queensland
 Total Over 3.5 1,84 1,95 +3,2% 34 1:2L form 68
Model transparency
How often the model is right and how close to the market. Backtest of 19 595 picks, 2025-06-11 – 2026-06-09. The market is efficient — this is an honest picture, not a profit promise.
Calibration
Model saidActualPicks
~57,4%50,4%6 562
~64,3%51,8%10 216
~73,2%53,2%2 817
The model slightly overrates the favourite — we don't hide it.
By value-edge
EdgeWinrateCLVPicks
<5%50,9%+0,15%3 614
5-10%51,0%+0,28%7 342
10-20%51,8%+0,34%7 330
20%+54,8%+0,37%1 309
Higher edge means higher winrate and CLV — the ranking works. Average CLV over 16 280 picks: +0,29% (beating the closing line).
CLV (closing line value) — how much the pick's price beats the market close; the key honest quality metric. Analysis, not betting advice. 18+.